How I Analyse Markets - The Technical Edge
Market structure, sector rotation, and cross-asset signals
Markets are not driven by a single factor.
Price, sentiment, macro conditions, and positioning interact - and understanding how they align is where edge comes from.
This is the framework I use to analyse markets.
1. Market Structure First
Everything starts with structure.
I focus on:
Trend direction (higher highs / lower lows)
Key levels (support, resistance, moving averages)
Momentum confirmation or divergence
This defines whether the environment is:
Trending
Corrective
Transitional
2. Sector Rotation
Markets are rarely uniform.
Capital rotates between:
Growth
Cyclicals
Defensives
Tracking these shifts helps identify:
Where strength is building
Where risk is increasing
3. Cross-Asset Signals
Equities don’t move in isolation.
I monitor:
Oil (inflation and geopolitical pressure)
Gold (defensive positioning)
Volatility (hedging demand and uncertainty)
Crypto (speculative flows)
These signals help confirm - or challenge - what price action is suggesting.
4. Stock-Level Execution
Individual stocks are analysed within this broader context.
I look for alignment between:
Technical structure
Valuation expectations
Sector positioning
This helps identify opportunities where:
Risk is defined
Asymmetry is favourable
5. Scenario-Based Thinking
Markets are not predictions - they are probabilities.
Instead of fixed views, I define:
What happens if key levels hold
What changes if they break
This keeps positioning adaptive.
Final Thought
The goal is not to predict direction, but to stay aligned with how conditions evolve.
If you’re new, start here:
Disclaimer: The content shared here reflects personal research and is for informational purposes only, not financial advice.